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Posts Tagged “Libya”

‘ISIL May be in Crisis, But So is the Coalition’, Al Jazeera, 31 May 2016

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‘ISIL May be in Crisis, But So is the Coalition’, Al Jazeera, 31 May 2016

Writing on Al Jazeera, I argue that ISIL’s current battlefield losses will not automatically translate into meaningful gains for the coalition.   ‘The battle to recapture Fallujah from the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant has gathered momentum, with thousands of government-linked forces encircling the strategic town, supported from the air and advised on…

Expert Witness, UK Defence Select Committee, 3 November 2015

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Expert Witness, UK Defence Select Committee, 3 November 2015

  On 3 November 2015, I gave expert testimony to the UK Parliament.  Ahead of the publication of the Strategic Defence and Security Review, I briefed the UK Defence Select Committee on potential threats from North Africa and the Middle East. Below is a record of my opening remarks. Phil Wilson MP: What specific threats to the UK and its interests are…

‘Defining a “Full-Spectrum” Counter-Terrorism Strategy’, 22 July 2015

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‘Defining a “Full-Spectrum” Counter-Terrorism Strategy’, 22 July 2015

Chris Mackmurdo and I previously argued that there needs to be a ‘full-spectrum’ approach to combatting ISIL and similar groups. Since then, British Prime Minister David Cameron and Defence Secretary Michael Fallon have both used this language, particularly since the Sousse attack. However, it is unclear exactly what they meant by a ‘full-spectrum’ response, and…

‘ISIS and Global Jihad’, 18 May 2015

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‘ISIS and Global Jihad’, 18 May 2015

For the International Institute for Strategic Studies, and on the eve of the launch of its new publication, Armed Conflict Survey, I examine the two seemingly contradictory effects of ISIS on global jihad.  I argue that the competing tendencies of unity and fragmentation create a dialectical tension that will drive the evolution of global jihadism in…

‘The Islamic State in Libya: Between Unity and Fragmentation’, 5 April 2015

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‘The Islamic State in Libya: Between Unity and Fragmentation’, 5 April 2015

For PS21, a new global think tank founded by Reuters Global Defence Correspondent Peter Apps, I examine the rise of the Islamic State in Libya. The Islamic State in Libya: Between Unity and Fragmentation ‘We have an appointment with Rome, God willing’, reads one Twitter entry for the Islamic State (IS) hashtag #Immigration to the State…

‘Libya’s Elections Must Be Postponed’, 23 March 2012

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‘Libya’s Elections Must Be Postponed’, 23 March 2012

Together with Ranj Alaaldin, I argue in the Daily Telegraph (London) that, while Libya’s potential is enormous, elections under the current circumstances will not deal with the militarisation of competing power centres: instead, they will reflect and embed an unstable situation.   Libya’s elections must be postponed   The unrest in Libya following last year’s…

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